I too share the general views expressed here; I want something positive to happen, but I’m not sure it will, especially since we are talking about a heartless and corrupt dictator surrounded with sycophants who would be happy to see the destruction of American democracy, and Kim is no better. The summit is turning into no more than a TV spectacle; “maximum pressure” has been dropped from the American lexicon, and rather than expecting results, it is now a “process”, and the summit seems now to be no more than a social get-to-know-you session.
Furthermore, Trump will be coming from a G6+1 meeting where he’ll be actively disliked and out of his depth, so no doubt the Kim side will exploit that with much buttering up and flat-out bribery, as that worked for China. My prediction for an outcome will be the continuation of North Korean claims and apparent actions towards denuclearisation but without inspections, whereas USA will draw down troop numbers in South Korea, a McDonalds in Pyongyang and the renaming of the Trump Ryugyong Hotel.
Q1: Do you think the meetings between North and South Korea will lead to peace? (Sample size=2,375)
Lead to peace
Depart from the road to peace
Q2: How interested are you in the North Korea-USA summit planned for the 12th of June 2018? (Sample size=2,375)
Not that interested
Not interested at all
Q3: Do you think the North Korea-USA summit will take place as planned? (Sample size=2,375)
Will be postponed
Will be cancelled
Will take place as scheduled
Q4: What do you think will be North Korea’s demands? (Sample size=2,375, multiple answer, top ten)
Lessening, removal of sanctions
Maintenance of the North Korean regime
Removal from the list of state sponsors of terrorism
Assurance that USA does not pose a threat to North Korea
Recognition as a nuclear power
Withdrawl of USA forces in South Korea
Cessation of USA-South Korea joint war games
Strengthening of foreign investment into North Korea
Signing of a peace treaty
Revocation of the South Korea-USA alliance
Q5: What do you think will be USA’s demands? (Sample size=2,375, multiple answer, top nine)
Verified destruction of nuclear weapons
Verified destruction of all nuclear facilities
Destruction of long-range missiles
Verified destruction of biological and chemical weapons
Destruction of medium-range missiles
Moving overseas of nuclear technicians
Destruction of short-range missiles
Return of Japanese abductees
Human rights protection for North Korean citizens
Q6: What do you think will be the outcome of the North Korea-USA summit? (Sample size=2,375)
Negotiations will not go well, but talking will continue
Negotiations will not go well, and USA will up the economic, military pressue
North Korea will agree to denuclearisation and soon allow inspectors to visit their facilities
Between the 18th and 24th of May 2018 2,375 members of the @nifty monitor group completed a private internet-based questionnaire. No further demographics were provided.
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