One in ten Japanese techies think machine learning will replace them within ten years


What is your opinions on machine intelligence? graph of japanese statisticsHere’s a short yet interesting (I especially have high hopes for Deep Learning) survey from Gartner Japan into machine intelligence.

I’m pretty sure many of my readers will have heard about Deep Learning, computing’s new Silver Bullet that will slay (if you believe the hype) all machine intelligence issues. I’ve worked a little on it myself, and I’ve attended a presentation or two on the subject, where people like the Berkeley Vision and Learning Center are doing quite wonderful stuff with drudge work like photo classification and scene understanding, but moving it up to the next level, especially for real-time work like vision systems for vehicles may take both more research and more computer horsepower.

Furthermore, there has recently been hype about half of all jobs being replaced by robots or AI by 2033, but I am sceptical because (a) I’ll be retired by then, so what do I care, and (b) I’ve heard all this before, with major breakthroughs always 10 or 20 years in the future. Furthermore, if they are going to replace half the jobs, I’m going to make sure that I’m in the other half!

Regardless of the future outcome, this is a topic that I think everyone in the IT business should be following!

Research results

Q1: Which one of the following opinions on machine intelligence do you agree with? (Sample size=515)

Within 10 years machine intelligence will replace us10.5%
Within 10 years machine intelligence will support us44.1%
Within 10 years machine intelligence will have no effect on us24.9%
Don’t know14.6%
Not interested6.0%

Q2: Do you want to learn about machine intelligence, robots, etc? (Sample size=515)

Currently monitoring the situation32.0%
No, not needed7.8%
Don’t know10.9%
Not interested8.0%


During February of 2016, 515 “IT Leaders”, people working in industry signed up with Gartner Japan who where involved in the purchase or recommendation of IT infrastructure, completed a private internet-based questionnaire.

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