世論 What Japan Thinks

As I work in the Osaka area, the outcome of the Osaka prefectural governor election (this Sunday 27th January 2008) will have some effect on me, and with some guy off the telly as the front-runner, I sincerely hope he won’t turn out to be another Hideo Higashikokubaru (Sonomanma Higashi) and appear on the box every night. In his defense, I saw that over the first year of his governorship he has been credited with giving the local economy a 100 billion yen (1 billion US dollar) boost

The first figure that the report from the Yomiuri Shimbun picked up on was the intention to vote. A healthy two in three said they would definitely turn out, with slightly more men that women saying they would vote. By age group, 78% of the over-seventies would definitely be voting, with 69% of those in their fifties would also definitely vote. However, only 43% of those in their twenties had definite plans, although another 49% said they’d try to vote, making 92% in total of all young people who might participate in the vote.
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Although I mostly pick the silly surveys from goo Ranking, they do occasionally cover serious subjects, with this recent one on expectations for Japan in the future, specifically what people think politicians should be putting some effort into.

Demographics

Over the 21st and 22nd of November 2007 1,101 members of the goo Research monitor panel completed a private internet-based questionnaire. 50.7% of the sample was female, 6.2% in their teens, 15.4% in their twenties, 30.2% in their thirties, 27.1% in their forties, 11.0% in their fifties, and 10.3% aged sixty or older. Note that the score reported is the relative number of votes each choice got, not the percentage of the sample that chose each option.

Although the title of the survey page from goo Ranking specifically includes the word politics, number 5 is rather non-political, or if it is meant to be political, Singapore springs to mind as a country that regulates the manners of the citizens, which may not be a very good example to follow. On the other hand, a lot of existing legislation gets ignored as penalties are either minor or non-existant, so perhaps this is a call for more enforcement of smoking in non-smoking zones, switching off mobiles when required, etc?

I think that addressing issues regarding worker abuse (and self-abuse) where unpaid overtime is the norm, by giving some teeth to unions; indeed I’d like to see unions being penalised for not bothering to stand up against unpaid overtime! What would you like to see from the politicians?
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I’m personally not convinced that natsu-bate, fatigue brought on by the summer heat, really does exist as a diagnosable illness, or whether it is just another thing the Japanese like to complain about, just like stiff shoulders. Regardless of whether it is real or not, here comes another slighly incongruous double-header from goo Research, conducted in conjunction with the Yomiuri Shimbun, looking at both the upcoming upper house elections and the summer heat.

Demographics

Between the 22nd and 24th of June 2007 546 people in their teens to their thirties who were members of the goo Research monitor group completed an internet-based questionnaire. The group was split 50:50 male and female, and 37% attended school or university, 26% were full-time company employees, and 13% were homemakers. More detailed information was not presented.

I’m not particularly surprised by Junichiro Koizumi coming tops of the poll, and Abe barely ranking, but I am surprised by the foreign secretary Taro Aso coming second, but after his recent Alzheimer’s comment, I wonder if he would drop out of the rankings were the survey repeated today.
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Between the 1st and 5th of April 2007 MyVoice surveyed its online community regarding their feelings regarding global warming. New visitors may want to check out previous environmental-themed surveys.

Demographics

17,500 people completed a private internet-based questionnaire. 54% were female, 2% in their teens, 18% in their twenties, 40% in their thirties, 26% in their forties, and 14% in their fifties.

I’ve not seen “An Inconveient Truth” myself, although my wife did go to see the Japanese subtitled version. She did find the message compelling, but she couldn’t recommend the movie itself as she felt the tone was too hectoring, although I don’t know if that was a fault with the original version or of the translation.
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Well, not literally (although I’m sure some are) but garbage collection and recycling is the most common thing looked up, according to a survey reported on japan.internet.com, conducted by JR Tokai Express Research into the use of local government web sites.

Demographics

On the 3rd of April 330 members of JR Tokai Express Research’s online monitor panel successfully completed a private internet-based questionnaire. 52.7% of the sample was female, 23.3% in their twenties, 35.5% in their thirties, 22.1% in their forties, 11.8% in their fifties, and 7.3% in their sixties.

One “other” from Q1SQ2 that I had need of was to look up what to do about a bees’ nest, as a new family of wasps decided to move in along with us a couple of years back. Most, if not all, councils will send someone round for free if it is not too big a nest, apparently, and not located in a difficult-to-reach location
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Watching my favourite television program tonight, Bakushou Mondai’s Hiraku Oota “If I were Prime Minister”, they did a quick street poll amongst 100 typical Shibuya high school schoolgirls to see how well they recognised the faces of the current and the previous Prime Ministers of Japan. only 44 out of 100 could get Abe san’s first and last names correct, yet 94 out of 100 remembered Jun chan.

japan.internet.com reported on an interesting survey recently conducted by Cross Marketing Inc into news consumption. Between the 10th and 12th of January they interviewed 300 mobile phone users from their monitor group; the sample was split 50:50 male and female, and 20.0% aged 18 or 19, 20.0% in their twenties, 20.0% in their thirties, 20.0% in their forties, and 20.0% in their fifties. Note that the full survey (available at a fee) covers many genres of news other than just the politics and technology groups featured in this article.

In particular regarding political news coverage, the results presented here have data points that are reassuring and others that are a bit depressing. The good news is that a relatively small one in five uses the internet as their primary politics news source. Whilst there are exceptions, like my favourite, Trans-Pacific Radio’s Seijigiri, certainly in the English-language world the perception I have is that many people gravitate towards the http://www.MyViewIsCorrectAndYouAreWrongWrongWrong.com sort of site. The bad news is that television is the most popular medium. Although I am in no way an expert on Japanese television news, not even a regular follower, I do get the impression that mainstream bulletins have little or no analysis, and there are few in-depth current-affairs programmes to rival, for instance, Newsnight in the UK, although I do hear that that’s gone downhill recently.

Personally, about the only current affairs program I enjoy (even though it is a little celebrity-heavy at times they at least give the lightweights little air-time, but that Kevin guy makes me want to throw stuff at the telly!) is “Bakusho Mondai’s Hikari Ota’s If I Were Prime Minister…”. That’s a login-free New York Times story, and it describes the show far better than I could. It’s worth catching every Friday 8pm to 9pm on NTV.
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It’s been quite a while since I’ve looked at a political opinion poll, so with the recent changes at the top with Junichiro Koizumi being replaced by Shinzo Abe, and with North Korea being a tad unreasonable at the moment, I think this would be a good time to present a translation of a survey of public opinion by the Yomiuri Shimbun on the new cabinet and the recent trip to China and Korea.
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goo Ranking released the results of their latest ranking questionnaire, conducted over two days towards the end of August. An unspecified number of goo users replied to the question of what is your lasting impression of the Junichiro Koizumi premiership.

This departs from the usual fluff of these ranking surveys, but I cannot give any guarantee about how accurately the figures reflect true public opinion. As always, the score for each option is the percentage of the votes for the top answer. I’m impressed by Jun-chan’s Elvis impressions making ninth on the list, but disappointed that him dancing with his doppelganger Richard Gere didn’t get anywhere!

Additionally, I suspect that anything directly related to him backing Horiemon’s election campaigning was disallowed due to the ongoing court case.
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According to a short article found on the Yomiuri Shimbun’s web site, they performed a face-to-face interview-based opinion poll in the middle of November to discover people’s attitude towards national politicians and politics. I wonder how much of the negative attitudes towards politicians was fired by the election of Taizo Sugimura and his all-too-honest youthful enthusiasm for the freebies awaiting him? Perhaps even the mostly positive image of Horiemon was soured by people realising that the whole business of Koizumi’s assassins was just too cynical a ploy?

The headline figure was that 69% felt there were too many Diet members, versus 24% who thought it was just about right, and 2% wanted more representitives.

Regarding respect for national politicians, 76% felt it had decreased from in the past, and 72% felt that the convictions (of the political, not the criminal, kind!) of the politicians had also decreased. When asked about their image of the current crop of Diet members, the top answer was “No convictions” at 38%, next being “Self-preservation” at 37%, “Acting in their own self interests” at 36%, then “Bias towards special interest groups or industries” and “Cannot understand popular sentiment” at 27% for each. All of the top ranked answers were negative images.

Only a third trusted politicians, whereas two-thirds did not, and with just 2% don’t knows, there are serious issues that the political machine needs to address to recapture the hearts of the person on the street.