By Ken Y-N ( September 9, 2010 at 00:14)
· Filed under Polls, Society
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A recent survey from iShare took a look at paying back lump sums on home loans, and found out, as usual, some interesting opinions.
Demographics
Between the 27th and 29th of July 2010 1,487 members of the CLUB BBQ free email forwarding service completed a private internet-based questionnaire. All the respondents had a home loan in either their own or their spouse’s name. 73.8% of the sample were male, 2.9% in their twenties, 30.1% in their thirties, and 67.0% in their forties.
Note than in Japan as far as I am aware the only form of home loan is a repayment mortgage. Despite endowment-type life insurance and hospital fee policies being popular, as far as I am aware there are no endowment loans, nor pension loans or other interesting but more risky methods. I did however see a loan advertised on the back of a newspaper in the train saying something like paying an extra 10% up front then absolutely zero interest for the 15 year duration of the loan!
You can see immediately from the demographics that few people in their twenties appear to have home loans, a surprising figure to me. In Q5, the reluctance to have loans is also a surprise; in the UK a mortgage is a fact of life, and car loans are also rather common. I’d like to see a survey delving further into the Japanese way of looking at lending.
My home loan is for a scary length with a scary amount of cash to pay back – I had hoped that What Japan Thinks and the rest of my empire would help out accelerate the repayment schedule, but sadly that hasn’t quite gone to plan…
Research results
Q1: Is your home loan in your name or your spouse’s name? (Sample size=1,487)
| |
All |
Male N=1,097 |
Female N=390 |
| My name (to SQ1) |
79.0% |
94.7% |
34.6% |
| Spouse’s name (to SQ2) |
21.0% |
5.3% |
65.4% |
Q1SQ1: Have you ever made a lump sum payment on your home loan? (Sample size=1,174)
| |
All |
Male N=1,039 |
Female N=135 |
| Yes (to SQ3, SQ4) |
43.1% |
42.9% |
44.4% |
| No |
56.9% |
57.1% |
55.6% |
Q1SQ2: Has your spouse ever made a lump sum payment on their home loan? (Sample size=313)
| |
All |
Male N=58 |
Female N=255 |
| Yes (to SQ3, SQ4) |
40.6% |
19.0% |
45.5% |
| No (to SQ6) |
49.2% |
53.4% |
48.2% |
| Don’t know (to SQ6) |
10.2% |
27.6% |
6.3% |
Q1SQ3: Did you feel joy or a sense of achievement, etc on making a lump sum payment on your/their home loan? (Sample size=633)
| |
All |
Male N=457 |
Female N=176 |
| Very much so |
39.0% |
37.0% |
44.3% |
| A little |
45.3% |
44.6% |
47.2% |
| Not at all |
15.6% |
18.4% |
8.5% |
Q1SQ4: Do you think there are minus points regarding making a lump sum payment on a home loan? (Sample size=633)
| |
All |
Male N=457 |
Female N=176 |
| Yes (to SQ5) |
35.9% |
35.2% |
37.5% |
| No |
64.1% |
64.8% |
62.5% |
Q1SQ5: What minus points are there regarding making a lump sum payment on one’s home loan? (Sample size=227, multiple answer)
| |
All |
Male N=161 |
Female N=66 |
| Cash reserves for emergencies, etc is reduced |
76.7% |
75.2% |
80.3% |
| No funds to invest if a way to make more that the interest is found |
23.8% |
26.1% |
18.2% |
| Associated life insurance term is shortened |
23.8% |
21.7% |
28.8% |
| If the repayment period is shortened it cannot be lengthened again |
17.6% |
17.4% |
18.2% |
Q1SQ6: Have you heard about minus points regarding making a lump sum payment on a home loan from friends, family, etc? (Sample size=854)
| |
All |
Male N=640 |
Female N=214 |
| Yes |
21.2% |
20.0% |
24.8% |
| No |
78.8% |
80.0% |
75.2% |
Q2: In total, how long is your home loan for? (Sample size=1,487)
| |
All |
Male N=1,097 |
Female N=390 |
| Up to five years |
3.3% |
2.1% |
9.3% |
| Five to nine years |
4.2% |
3.7% |
5.6% |
| Ten to fourteen years |
6.9% |
7.0% |
6.4% |
| Fifteen to nineteen years |
8.9% |
9.2% |
7.9% |
| Twenty to twenty-four years |
16.9% |
15.9% |
19.7% |
| Twenty-five years or more |
60.2% |
60.9% |
58.2% |
Q3: How much is currently outstanding on your home loan? (Sample size=1,487)
| |
All |
Male N=1,097 |
Female N=390 |
| Under 5 million yen |
5.6% |
5.4% |
6.4% |
| 5 to 9.999 million yen |
11.0% |
10.8% |
11.3% |
| 10 to 14.999 million yen |
14.3% |
14.9% |
12.3% |
| 15 to 19.999 million yen |
18.0% |
19.8% |
13.1% |
| 20 to 29.999 million yen |
26.2% |
28.1% |
20.8% |
| 30 to 39.999 million yen |
8.7% |
9.0% |
7.9% |
| 40 to 49.999 million yen |
2.4% |
2.7% |
1.5% |
| 50 million yen or more |
2.1% |
1.5% |
3.6% |
| Don’t know |
11.7% |
7.7% |
23.1% |
Q4: Would you like to make a lump payment on your home loan in the future? (Sample size=1,487)
| |
All |
Male N=1,097 |
Female N=390 |
| Even if money is tight, would like to pay off even a little (to SQ) |
6.7% |
6.8% |
6.2% |
| If I have spare cash, would like to (to SQ) |
79.1% |
78.2% |
81.5% |
| Don’t want to |
14.3% |
14.9% |
12.3% |
Q4SQ: Why would you most like to make a lump payment on your home loan in the future? (Sample size=1,275)
| |
All |
Male N=933 |
Female N=342 |
| Want to reduce the total amount of interest I have to pay |
64.5% |
65.7% |
61.1% |
| Just think it’s best to repay loans quickly |
11.8% |
11.4% |
12.9% |
| Want to pay back quickly and use the cash for something else |
11.1% |
10.3% |
13.2% |
| Want to relieve the pressure of having a loan |
6.8% |
6.8% |
7.0% |
| Worried there might be a time when I cannot make the payments |
4.9% |
5.0% |
4.4% |
| Other |
1.0% |
0.9% |
1.5% |
Q5: Home loans are one type of borrowing, but how do you think about borrowing in general? (Sample size=1,487)
| |
All |
Male N=1,097 |
Female N=390 |
| Regardless of the objective (home, education, etc) it’s best not to |
52.5% |
48.8% |
62.8% |
| Depending on the objective (home, education, etc) it’s best to proactively take out a loan |
41.8% |
44.9% |
32.8% |
| Regardless of the objective (home, education, etc) it’s OK to take out loans |
5.8% |
6.3% |
4.4% |
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That most people in their 20s don’t have mortgages isn’t a surprise when you consider a few things:
1) Pay for new employees is typically low and has been stagnant for a while.
2) BUT, assuming that a young man lands a job out of university, he’ll very likely stay in a company dormitory or apartment for a number of years live for free or pay a very cheap rent. During his stay, it is a assumed he will be saving up for a home. Depending on the company, the maximum stay is something like 10-12 years or your 40th birthday, whichever comes first.
These people are cash-poor and generally don’t enter the housing market until they are in their thirties when they are hopefully earning more and have saved up a decent down payment.